Changchun Yataivs
Yanbian Longding
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 10/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yanbian Longding · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Changchun Yatai 1-1 Yanbian Longding
Original prediction
Yanbian Longding
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.3% | 36.4% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.0% | 26.1% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 25.8% | 37.5% | 11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Yanbian Longding
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Yanbian Longding has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20