GGOALVIO

China · League One · 4/11/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shaanxi Union · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Changchun Yatai are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Shaanxi Union are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shaanxi Union hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the League One, while Shaanxi Union holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shaanxi Union

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

51.8%

Shaanxi Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Changchun YataiWLLLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Shaanxi UnionWLWLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Changchun YataiShaanxi Union
50.0Attack50.0
37.0Defence68.5
42.6Form48.1
45.4Power54.9
0.99xG1.76
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