Changchun Yataivs
Ningbo Professional
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Changchun Yatai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Changchun Yatai 2-0 Ningbo Professional
Original prediction
Changchun Yatai
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.6% | 40.7% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.4% | 24.1% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 27.0% | 35.2% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Changchun Yatai
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Changchun Yatai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00