League OneLeague One
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 12:40
Changchun Yatai

Changchun Yatai

Home
L
21
Full time
Nanjing City

Nanjing City

Away
W
Development Area Stadium
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Changchun Yatai(40%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Changchun Yatai
40%
Draw
28%
Nanjing City
32%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Changchun Yatai
34
Nanjing City
94
Defence
Changchun Yatai
0
Nanjing City
66
Momentum
Changchun Yatai
0
Nanjing City
100
Danger (xG)
Changchun Yatai
0.90
Nanjing City
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Changchun Yatai)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Nanjing City)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Changchun Yatai)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Nanjing City)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Changchun YataiChangchun Yatai
LLD
Nanjing CityNanjing City
WLL

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Changchun Yatai40%
Draw28%
Nanjing City32%

Changchun Yatai leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Changchun Yatai head into this in League One fixture at Development Area Stadium in mixed form (L), while Nanjing City arrive in mixed form (W). Changchun Yatai have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Nanjing City over 1 games.

Tactically, Nanjing City hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Changchun Yatai defence (0/100), while Changchun Yatai's attack faces a solid Nanjing City backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Changchun Yatai have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.5 conceded per home match. Nanjing City have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Changchun Yatai and Nanjing City in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Changchun Yatai to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Changchun Yatai 4027%, Draw 2795%, Nanjing City 3178%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Changchun Yatai

Changchun Yatai

L
vs Wuxi Wugou
17 Jul 2026
15
L
vs Guangxi Hengchen
27 Jun 2026
12
D
@ Xi'an Ronghai
16 May 2026
11
Nanjing City

Nanjing City

W
vs Dongguan United
5 Jul 2026
31
L
@ Hebei Kungfu
27 Jun 2026
12
L
@ Qingdao Red Lions
15 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Changchun Yatai vs Nanjing City?

GoalVio's model predicts Changchun Yatai to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Changchun Yatai vs Nanjing City?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Changchun Yatai vs Nanjing City?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Changchun Yatai vs Nanjing City?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more