Changchun Yataivs
Meizhou Kejia
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 10/24/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Changchun Yatai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Changchun Yatai 4-1 Meizhou Kejia
Original prediction
Changchun Yatai
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.8% | 56.1% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.1% | 23.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 4.98 | 18.2% | 20.5% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Changchun Yatai
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Changchun Yatai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60