Guangxi Hengchen leads with 37% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Match insights

Changchun Yatai head into this in League One fixture at Development Area Stadium in mixed form (L), while Guangxi Hengchen arrive in mixed form (W). Changchun Yatai have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Guangxi Hengchen over 1 games.

Tactically, Guangxi Hengchen hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Changchun Yatai defence (0/100), while Changchun Yatai's attack faces a solid Guangxi Hengchen backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Changchun Yatai have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.5 conceded per home match. Guangxi Hengchen have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Guangxi Hengchen have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Guangxi Hengchen to win with 37% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Changchun Yatai 3570%, Draw 2720%, Guangxi Hengchen 3710%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Recent form

Changchun Yatai

L

vs Wuxi Wugou

17 Jul 2026

1–5

L

vs Guangxi Hengchen

27 Jun 2026

1–2

D

@ Xi'an Ronghai

16 May 2026

1–1

Guangxi Hengchen

W

vs Dalian Huayi

5 Jul 2026

3–1

W

@ Changchun Yatai

27 Jun 2026

2–1

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