GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/22/2023, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Changchun Yatai · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Changchun Yatai are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Dalian Aerbin are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Changchun Yatai hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 35.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.9% in the Super League, while Changchun Yatai holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Changchun Yatai

Probability

55.9%

Model confidence

55.9%

Changchun Yatai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Changchun YataiW

GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Dalian AerbinW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Changchun YataiDalian Aerbin
48.9Attack27.8
46.7Defence47.8
43.3Form22.2
48.1Power35.6
1.73xG0.79
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