League TwoLeague Two
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 15:02
Changchun Xidu

Changchun Xidu

Home
W
02
Full time
Shanghai Port II

Shanghai Port II

Away
W
Yatai Training Base Stadium
GoalVio prediction
37% confidence
Shanghai Port II(34%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Changchun Xidu
36%
Draw
30%
Shanghai Port II
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Changchun Xidu
34
Shanghai Port II
100
Defence
Changchun Xidu
91
Shanghai Port II
66
Momentum
Changchun Xidu
100
Shanghai Port II
100
Danger (xG)
Changchun Xidu
0.90
Shanghai Port II
4.50
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Changchun Xidu)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Shanghai Port II)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Changchun Xidu)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Shanghai Port II)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Changchun XiduChangchun Xidu
WD
Shanghai Port IIShanghai Port II
W

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Changchun Xidu36%
Draw30%
Shanghai Port II34%

Changchun Xidu leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Changchun Xidu head into this in League Two fixture at Yatai Training Base Stadium in mixed form (W), while Shanghai Port II arrive in mixed form (W). Changchun Xidu have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Shanghai Port II over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Changchun Xidu (91/100) and Shanghai Port II (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Changchun Xidu have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per home match. Shanghai Port II have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Changchun Xidu and Shanghai Port II in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Shanghai Port II to win with 37% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Changchun Xidu 3583%, Draw 2974%, Shanghai Port II 3443%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Changchun Xidu

Changchun Xidu

W
@ Tai'an Tiankuang
5 Jul 2026
10
D
vs Nantong Haimen Codion
27 Jun 2026
00
Shanghai Port II

Shanghai Port II

W
vs BIT
4 Jul 2026
51

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Changchun Xidu vs Shanghai Port II?

GoalVio's model predicts Shanghai Port II to win with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Changchun Xidu vs Shanghai Port II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Changchun Xidu vs Shanghai Port II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Changchun Xidu vs Shanghai Port II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more