Changchun Xiduvs
Hubei Chufeng Heli
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hubei Chufeng Heli · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Changchun Xidu 0-0 Hubei Chufeng Heli, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Changchun Xidu 1-0 Hubei Chufeng Heli
Original prediction
Hubei Chufeng Heli
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 47.6% | 27.3% | -20.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.4% | 31.4% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.89 | 23.0% | 41.3% | 18.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.3 pts
Projected Score
Changchun Xidu 0–0 Hubei Chufeng Heli
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Hubei Chufeng Heli
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Hubei Chufeng Heli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60