Changchun Xiduvs
Guangzhou Dandelion
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/6/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Changchun Xidu 0-0 Guangzhou Dandelion, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Changchun Xidu 1-1 Guangzhou Dandelion
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 33.9% | 32.8% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.73 | 32.8% | 33.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.3% | 33.5% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.73 · Draw 1.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Projected Score
Changchun Xidu 0–0 Guangzhou Dandelion
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.8%
Model confidence
33.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Changchun XiduDWWDL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Guangzhou DandelionLLDWD
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Changchun XiduGuangzhou Dandelion
23.6Attack31.9
59.7Defence56.9
33.3Form34.7
41.6Power43.4
0.67xG0.71