Changchun Xiduvs
Guangdong Mingtu
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Changchun Xidu 0-0 Guangdong Mingtu, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Changchun Xidu 0-0 Guangdong Mingtu
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.4% | 24.3% | -12.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.73 | 32.8% | 35.0% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 30.7% | 40.6% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.73 · Draw 1.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Projected Score
Changchun Xidu 0–0 Guangdong Mingtu
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.0%
Model confidence
40.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Changchun XiduWWDLL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Guangdong MingtuWLWDD
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Changchun XiduGuangdong Mingtu
24.6Attack33.3
58.0Defence71.0
33.3Form42.0
41.4Power50.7
0.45xG0.79