Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cham 2-4 Bulle
Original prediction
Cham
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.4% | 41.4% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.0% | 27.0% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 28.6% | 31.5% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Cham
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Cham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChamWWLWD
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BulleLWWLD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ChamBulle
51.9Attack66.7
66.7Defence55.6
70.4Form63.0
64.4Power62.1
1.56xG1.27