Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cham 2-1 Brühl
Original prediction
Cham
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 40.9% | 42.2% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.4% | 24.9% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 34.7% | 32.8% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Cham
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Cham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChamLWDWW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BrühlDLWDL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ChamBrühl
52.4Attack52.4
61.9Defence61.9
61.9Form52.4
59.5Power55.7
1.49xG1.23