Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uttaradit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chainat 3-2 Uttaradit
Original prediction
Uttaradit
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 32.0% | 34.3% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.6% | 26.7% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.5% | 39.0% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Uttaradit
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Uttaradit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChainatLWWDL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
UttaraditDWWDW
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ChainatUttaradit
44.4Attack66.7
61.1Defence55.6
55.6Form66.7
55.1Power65.7
1.31xG1.42