Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chainat · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chainat 2-0 Songkhla
Original prediction
Chainat
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 36.8% | 36.6% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.4% | 29.7% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 34.8% | 33.7% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Chainat
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Chainat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChainatWDLWL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SongkhlaDWLDL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ChainatSongkhla
41.7Attack50.0
58.3Defence58.3
58.3Form41.7
54.6Power50.2
1.34xG1.18