Chainatvs
Phrae United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chainat · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chainat 0-0 Phrae United, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chainat 3-1 Phrae United
Original prediction
Chainat
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.5% | 40.8% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.8% | 28.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 27.8% | 30.4% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Projected Score
Chainat 0–0 Phrae United
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Chainat
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Chainat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChainatLLLDW
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Phrae UnitedLLDDD
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ChainatPhrae United
31.4Attack36.3
54.9Defence48.0
36.3Form39.2
42.8Power43.0
1.04xG0.90