GGOALVIO

Thailand · Thai League 2 · 9/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chainat · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Chainat 0-0 Esan Pattaya

Original prediction

Chainat

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3737.9%39.6%1.8 pts
Draw3.1028.9%28.0%-0.9 pts
Away2.7033.2%32.4%-0.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–09%
  3. 3.2–19%

Predicted outcome

Chainat

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Chainat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChainatLWLLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Esan PattayaLWWDD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ChainatEsan Pattaya
50.0Attack16.7
33.3Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
45.8Power42.7
1.47xG1.19
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