Chadormalu SCvs
Esteghlal FC
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 10/23/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Esteghlal FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chadormalu SC 0-0 Esteghlal FC, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chadormalu SC 1-1 Esteghlal FC
Original prediction
Esteghlal FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.37 | 20.8% | 18.1% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.6% | 30.3% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.80 | 50.5% | 51.6% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Projected Score
Chadormalu SC 0–0 Esteghlal FC
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Esteghlal FC
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Esteghlal FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40