GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 6/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferro Carril Oeste · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Chaco For Ever are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ferro Carril Oeste are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 59.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.5% in the Primera Nacional, while Ferro Carril Oeste holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferro Carril Oeste

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

23.5%

Ferro Carril Oeste has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chaco For EverDLDLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Ferro Carril OesteDWWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Chaco For EverFerro Carril Oeste
30.4Attack38.9
59.4Defence69.4
31.9Form63.9
42.8Power59.8
0.57xG0.93
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