Chaco For Evervs
Defensores De Belgrano
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/4/2026, 8:20:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chaco For Ever 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano, with an exact score probability of 37%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chaco For Ever 2-2 Defensores De Belgrano
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 45.1% | 36.7% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 32.0% | 38.6% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 4.03 | 22.8% | 24.8% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.87 · Draw 1.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Projected Score
Chaco For Ever 0–0 Defensores De Belgrano
Exact score probability: 37%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60