GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 10/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Chaco For Ever 0-0 Central Norte, with an exact score probability of 36%.

Prediction record

Final result

Chaco For Ever 1-2 Central Norte

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0145.9%40.8%-5.1 pts
Draw2.8132.8%37.6%4.8 pts
Away4.3321.3%21.6%0.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.8 pts

Projected Score

Chaco For Ever 0–0 Central Norte

Exact score probability: 36%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

40.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chaco For EverWDLWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Central NorteDDDLD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Chaco For EverCentral Norte
32.3Attack21.2
65.7Defence69.7
40.4Form34.3
48.1Power44.5
0.65xG0.41
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