GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/26/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Chaco For Ever are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atletico Mitre are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Mitre hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.1% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

23.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chaco For EverDWLLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico MitreLDLDD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Chaco For EverAtletico Mitre
30.4Attack33.3
59.4Defence61.1
31.9Form38.9
42.8Power46.0
0.76xG0.76
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