GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Chaco For Ever 0-0 Almirante Brown, with an exact score probability of 41%.

Prediction record

Final result

Chaco For Ever 1-0 Almirante Brown

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9048.1%30.8%-17.3 pts
Draw2.8332.3%40.0%7.7 pts
Away4.6619.6%29.2%9.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.7 pts

Projected Score

Chaco For Ever 0–0 Almirante Brown

Exact score probability: 41%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chaco For EverDWDWW

GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Almirante BrownDDWWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Chaco For EverAlmirante Brown
29.9Attack26.4
66.7Defence81.6
37.9Form52.9
46.7Power56.0
0.41xG0.50
View match centre →