GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 3/30/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Chacaritas are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while 9 de Octubre are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and 9 de Octubre hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChacaritasWL

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
9 de OctubreWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Chacaritas9 de Octubre
40.7Attack33.3
56.5Defence80.0
39.8Form58.3
47.3Power59.9
0.59xG0.83
View match centre →