Chacarita Juniorsvs
Quilmes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chacarita Juniors 0-0 Quilmes, with an exact score probability of 36%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chacarita Juniors 3-0 Quilmes
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 34.6% | 23.8% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.82 | 32.3% | 37.7% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 33.1% | 38.6% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Projected Score
Chacarita Juniors 0–0 Quilmes
Exact score probability: 36%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
38.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Chacarita JuniorsLLLLD
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
QuilmesWLLLW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Chacarita JuniorsQuilmes
21.8Attack32.2
64.4Defence72.4
31.0Form40.2
41.4Power49.5
0.38xG0.65