Chacarita Juniorsvs
Patronato
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chacarita Juniors 0-0 Patronato, with an exact score probability of 34%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chacarita Juniors 1-0 Patronato
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.7% | 33.4% | -14.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.4% | 37.1% | 6.7 pts |
| Away | 4.18 | 21.9% | 29.5% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Projected Score
Chacarita Juniors 0–0 Patronato
Exact score probability: 34%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Chacarita JuniorsLWLLL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PatronatoWDDDL
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Chacarita JuniorsPatronato
24.7Attack29.0
64.5Defence66.7
32.3Form36.6
42.5Power45.9
0.53xG0.58