GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Chacarita Juniors are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gimnasia Y Tiro are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Y Tiro hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chacarita JuniorsDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Gimnasia Y TiroDLLDW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Chacarita JuniorsGimnasia Y Tiro
25.0Attack36.1
63.9Defence69.4
36.1Form51.4
43.9Power54.7
0.48xG0.75
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