Chacarita Juniorsvs
Deportivo Maipu
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/17/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chacarita Juniors 0-0 Deportivo Maipu, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chacarita Juniors 1-0 Deportivo Maipu
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 45.1% | 28.1% | -17.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.86 | 32.0% | 33.9% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 4.00 | 22.9% | 38.0% | 15.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Projected Score
Chacarita Juniors 0–0 Deportivo Maipu
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.9%
Model confidence
38.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80