Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional
Monday, 20 July 202619:00Updated today
Chacarita Juniors

Chacarita Juniors

Home
D
vs
19:00
Club Atlético Güemes

Club Atlético Güemes

Away
L
Estadio de Chacarita Juniors
GoalVio prediction
62% confidence
Chacarita Juniors(62%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Chacarita Juniors
62%
Draw
26%
Club Atlético Güemes
13%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Chacarita Juniors
34
Club Atlético Güemes
9
Defence
Chacarita Juniors
66
Club Atlético Güemes
27
Momentum
Chacarita Juniors
33
Club Atlético Güemes
0
Danger (xG)
Chacarita Juniors
0.90
Club Atlético Güemes
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Chacarita Juniors)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Club Atlético Güemes)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Chacarita Juniors)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Club Atlético Güemes)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors
DDL
Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes
LLD

Probability breakdown

62% confidence
Chacarita Juniors62%
Draw26%
Club Atlético Güemes13%

Chacarita Juniors leads with 62% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Chacarita Juniors head into this in Primera Nacional fixture at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors in mixed form (D), while Club Atlético Güemes arrive in mixed form (L). Chacarita Juniors have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Club Atlético Güemes over 1 games.

The model rates Chacarita Juniors's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Club Atlético Güemes defence, and Club Atlético Güemes's attack at 9/100 against a 66/100 Chacarita Juniors backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Chacarita Juniors have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match. Club Atlético Güemes have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Chacarita Juniors and Club Atlético Güemes in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Chacarita Juniors to win with 62% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Chacarita Juniors 6161%, Draw 2560%, Club Atlético Güemes 1279%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Chacarita Juniors

Chacarita Juniors

D
@ Gimnasia Jujuy
12 Jul 2026
11
D
vs Tristan Suarez
21 Jun 2026
00
L
vs Temperley
7 Jun 2026
01
Club Atlético Güemes

Club Atlético Güemes

L
vs San Martin S.J.
12 Jul 2026
02
L
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
21 Jun 2026
13
D
@ Colegiales
16 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Chacarita Juniors vs Club Atlético Güemes?

GoalVio's model predicts Chacarita Juniors to win with 62% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Chacarita Juniors vs Club Atlético Güemes?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Chacarita Juniors vs Club Atlético Güemes?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Chacarita Juniors vs Club Atlético Güemes?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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