Chabab Mohammédiavs
USM Oujda
COMPLETEDMorocco · Botola 2 · 10/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chabab Mohammédia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chabab Mohammédia 0-1 USM Oujda
Original prediction
Chabab Mohammédia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.1% | 37.7% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 31.0% | 30.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 28.9% | 31.5% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Chabab Mohammédia
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Chabab Mohammédia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00