CFRJ / MaricávsVelo Clube

CFRJ / Maricá are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Velo Clube are 0W-3D-0L in their last 3 (DDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Velo Clube hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.6% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.