GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

CFRJ / Maricá are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sampaio Corrêa RJ are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sampaio Corrêa RJ hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.9% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

28.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CFRJ / MaricáWWDLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sampaio Corrêa RJLWDLD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CFRJ / MaricáSampaio Corrêa RJ
30.0Attack25.0
53.3Defence66.7
36.7Form36.1
42.9Power45.5
0.64xG0.64
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