CFRJ / MaricávsNoroeste

CFRJ / Maricá are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Noroeste are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Noroeste hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.6% in the Serie D, while Noroeste holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.