CFRJ / MaricávsBoavista SC

CFRJ / Maricá are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Boavista SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Boavista SC hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 75.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.9% in the Copa Rio, while Boavista SC holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.