UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Thursday, 6 August 2026Last updated 23:29
CFR 1907 Cluj

CFR 1907 Cluj

Home
WD
05
Full time
Tromso

Tromso

Away
W
Dr. Constantin Radulescu
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
CFR 1907 Cluj(37%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
CFR 1907 Cluj
37%
Draw
24%
Tromso
39%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
CFR 1907 Cluj
34
Tromso
99
Defence
CFR 1907 Cluj
82
Tromso
91
Momentum
CFR 1907 Cluj
67
Tromso
100
Danger (xG)
CFR 1907 Cluj
0.90
Tromso
1.39
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.99 xG for CFR 1907 Cluj and 2.08 xG for Tromso — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.09), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 4.07 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.

xG for (CFR 1907 Cluj)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Tromso)
1.39
avg per match
xG against (CFR 1907 Cluj)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Tromso)
0.78
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
CFR 1907 ClujCFR 1907 Cluj
WDD
TromsoTromso
WL

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
CFR 1907 Cluj37%
Draw24%
Tromso39%

Tromso leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

CFR 1907 Cluj Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

CFR 1907 Cluj host Tromso in UEFA Europa Conference League. CFR 1907 Cluj have recorded LDWWLL in recent matches while Tromso arrive with a run of WWLLWW. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 5.0 goals per game.

Key factors

: 📈 Recent Form Tromso arrive in better recent form — 4 wins from 10 matches (WWLLWW) against CFR 1907 Cluj's 2. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency Tromso have averaged 3.1 goals per game in recent fixtures compared to CFR 1907 Cluj's 1.5 — a gap in attacking output that the model captures in its xG projection. Consistent goal-scoring is one of the clearest indicators of a team's ability to convert chances.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency CFR 1907 Cluj have averaged 1.47 goals per game recently while Tromso have managed 3.06. Tromso have been the more prolific side — a factor the model weighs in its Tromso win projection.

Why GoalVio backs this

Tromso hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Tromso.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Tromso, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If CFR 1907 Cluj score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.09 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

CFR 1907 Cluj

CFR 1907 Cluj

W
vs Karpaty
9 Jul 2026
10
D
vs FC Noah
7 Jul 2026
11
D
@ Dinamo Bucuresti
16 May 2026
00
Tromso

Tromso

W
vs Valerenga
11 Jul 2026
40
xG 1.4
L
@ Bodo/Glimt
16 May 2026
05

Frequently asked questions

Who will win CFR 1907 Cluj vs Tromso?

GoalVio's model predicts CFR 1907 Cluj to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for CFR 1907 Cluj vs Tromso?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in CFR 1907 Cluj vs Tromso?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in CFR 1907 Cluj vs Tromso?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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