Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CFFEB · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CFFEB 1-0 Salitas
Original prediction
CFFEB
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 13:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.7% | 39.3% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.8% | 29.0% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.5% | 31.6% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
CFFEB
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
CFFEB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CFFEBNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
SalitasNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
CFFEBSalitas
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24