CF Talaveravs
Salamanca UDS
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 10/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CF Talavera · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CF Talavera 2-1 Salamanca UDS
Original prediction
CF Talavera
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.7% | 40.9% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.5% | 29.5% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 4.17 | 21.8% | 29.6% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
CF Talavera
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
CF Talavera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80