CF Talaveravs
Atlético Paso
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 10/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CF Talavera · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: CF Talavera 1-0 Atlético Paso, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
CF Talavera 2-1 Atlético Paso
Original prediction
CF Talavera
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 49.3% | 46.5% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.0% | 28.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.21 | 21.7% | 24.6% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Projected Score
CF Talavera 1–0 Atlético Paso
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
CF Talavera
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
CF Talavera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00