CF Pachucavs
Necaxa
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 10/11/2026, 11:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CF Pachuca · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CF Pachuca 3-3 Necaxa
Original prediction
CF Pachuca
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 55.0% | 55.9% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 24.3% | 23.8% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.52 | 20.7% | 20.3% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
CF Pachuca
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
CF Pachuca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40