GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CF Pachuca · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

CF Pachuca are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Guadalajara Chivas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.3 against 47.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Liga MX, while CF Pachuca holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CF Pachuca

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

14.2%

CF Pachuca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CF PachucaWLLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Guadalajara ChivasWLDDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
CF PachucaGuadalajara Chivas
44.4Attack22.2
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form44.4
47.3Power47.5
1.34xG1.03
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