CF Pachucavs
Guadalajara Chivas
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga MX · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CF Pachuca · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
CF Pachuca are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Guadalajara Chivas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.3 against 47.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Liga MX, while CF Pachuca holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CF Pachuca
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
14.2%
CF Pachuca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80