CF Pachucavs
Club Tijuana
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 9/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CF Pachuca · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CF Pachuca 2-2 Club Tijuana
Original prediction
CF Pachuca
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 06:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 55.4% | 48.1% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.8% | 26.0% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.71 | 19.8% | 25.9% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
CF Pachuca
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
CF Pachuca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00