GGOALVIO

Portugal · Segunda Liga · 8/20/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Porto B · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CF Os Belenenses are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Porto B are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Porto B hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (34.4 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the Segunda Liga, while FC Porto B holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Porto B

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

52.5%

FC Porto B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CF Os BelenensesLWLWL

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC Porto BD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
CF Os BelenensesFC Porto B
27.5Attack50.0
42.2Defence50.0
25.5Form43.1
34.4Power48.3
0.84xG1.65
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