CF Os Belenensesvs
Atlético CP
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga 3 · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CF Os Belenenses · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: CF Os Belenenses 1-0 Atlético CP, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
CF Os Belenenses 1-0 Atlético CP
Original prediction
CF Os Belenenses
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 47.9% | 41.8% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.3% | 30.5% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.78 | 23.8% | 27.7% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Projected Score
CF Os Belenenses 1–0 Atlético CP
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
CF Os Belenenses
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
CF Os Belenenses has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60