CF Montrealvs
Vancouver Whitecaps
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Championship · 9/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CF Montreal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CF Montreal 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
Original prediction
CF Montreal
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.80 | 23.5% | 42.2% | 18.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.5% | 24.4% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 53.1% | 33.4% | -19.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
CF Montreal
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
CF Montreal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20