GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 7/22/2023, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CF Montreal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CF Montreal are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 1W-3D-0L in their last 4 (DDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 9 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and CF Montreal hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Leagues Cup, while CF Montreal holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CF Montreal

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

CF Montreal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CF MontrealWLLLD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
U.N.A.M. - PumasDDWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
CF MontrealU.N.A.M. - Pumas
33.3Attack11.1
50.0Defence33.3
16.7Form11.1
36.5Power23.1
1.73xG1.17
View match centre →