CF Montrealvs
New York City FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/25/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
CF Montreal are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while New York City FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and New York City FC hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (37.8 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Major League Soccer, while New York City FC holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York City FC
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
10.1%
New York City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40