Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:05
CF Montreal

CF Montreal

Home
D
01
Full time
Inter Miami

Inter Miami

Away
W
Saputo Stadium
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

CF Montreal37%
Inter Miami36%
Draw27%
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
CF Montreal
37%
Draw
27%
Inter Miami
36%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
CF Montreal
9
Inter Miami
100
Defence
CF Montreal
91
Inter Miami
6
Momentum
CF Montreal
33
Inter Miami
100
Danger (xG)
CF Montreal
0.94
Inter Miami
4.50
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (CF Montreal)
0.94
avg per match
xG for (Inter Miami)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (CF Montreal)
0.44
avg per match
xG against (Inter Miami)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
CF MontrealCF Montreal
DWWD
Inter MiamiInter Miami
W

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
CF Montreal37%
Draw27%
Inter Miami36%

CF Montreal leads with 37% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

CF Montreal head into this in Major League Soccer fixture at Saputo Stadium in mixed form (D), while Inter Miami arrive in mixed form (W). CF Montreal have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Inter Miami over 1 games.

The model rates CF Montreal's attack at 9/100 against a 6/100 Inter Miami defence, and Inter Miami's attack at 100/100 against a 91/100 CF Montreal backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

CF Montreal have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Inter Miami have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 5.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

CF Montreal have generated 0.94 xG per game recently while conceding 0.44 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between CF Montreal and Inter Miami in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Inter Miami to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: CF Montreal 3656%, Draw 2695%, Inter Miami 3649%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

CF Montreal

CF Montreal

D
vs Toronto FC
17 Jul 2026
00
xG 0.9
W
vs Vancouver FC
13 Jul 2026
21
W
@ Vancouver FC
9 Jul 2026
21
D
vs Portland Timbers
14 May 2026
22
Inter Miami

Inter Miami

W
@ FC Cincinnati
14 May 2026
53

Frequently asked questions

Who will win CF Montreal vs Inter Miami?

GoalVio's model predicts Inter Miami to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for CF Montreal vs Inter Miami?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in CF Montreal vs Inter Miami?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in CF Montreal vs Inter Miami?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more