CF Montrealvs
Forge
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Championship · 10/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CF Montreal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CF Montreal 1-1 Forge
Original prediction
CF Montreal
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.3% | 48.3% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.8% | 25.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.10 | 21.9% | 26.7% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
CF Montreal
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
CF Montreal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00