GGOALVIO

CF Montreal logoCF MontrealvsForge logoForge

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Canada · Canadian Championship · 5/24/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CF Montreal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CF Montreal are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Forge are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and CF Montreal hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (90.7 v 76.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Canadian Championship, while CF Montreal holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CF Montreal

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

CF Montreal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CF MontrealLLWWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ForgeDWDWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CF MontrealForge
100.0Attack77.8
77.8Defence77.8
100.0Form77.8
90.7Power76.6
1.88xG1.41
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