CF Montrealvs
Columbus Crew
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/19/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Columbus Crew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CF Montreal 0-2 Columbus Crew
Original prediction
Columbus Crew
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 36.9% | 33.8% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.9% | 22.5% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 37.2% | 43.7% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Columbus Crew
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Columbus Crew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40